Will your job be automated?

With increased automation, software reaches decision-making capabilities previously thought to be confined to the human brain. No profession is exempt, except when rendering these services requires a capacity for intimacy, compassion, and emotional response – for now.

Translation, for example, is one of the domains where developers have tried since 1951 to render text from one language to another, so far with limited acceptable results.

67 years later, we are at the point where translation of technical documents can be automated fairly well. On the other hand, we still get oddly surreal ‘translations.’ Some users, for example, once typed random characters into Google Translate and the Thai translation read: ‘There are six sparks in the sky, each with six spheres. The sphere of the sphere is the sphere of the sphere.’

We will find such examples for a long time. My prediction is that machine translation will not pass the Turing test in my lifetime. Notwithstanding the fact that some human translations are not distinguishable from that of a machine, a machine will not have the ability to translate high-touch content equivalent to, or indistinguishable from, a human translation in my lifetime.

Eliza

Joseph Weizenbaum made this case in 1966 with his program ELIZA, an early natural language processing computer program that gave users an illusion of an actual conversation.  It was one of the first chatbots. ELIZA’s most famous script, DOCTOR, was so effective that individuals initially thought it had human-like feelings. In fact, it only used rules within the script to respond with non-directional questions to user inputs, such as:

ELIZA: Let’s Talk

User: How are you?

ELIZA: Why are you interested in how I am?

One of the first world’s chatbots, ELIZA, was unable to contextualize a person’s response. To this day, you can detect chatbots by asking them about themselves. New innovations combine voice with face recognition and emotion sensing and will enable applications to respond to a person’s emotional state. But responding to a client’s need for relevance, belonging, personal growth and giving back will continue to be the advantage of warm-bodied project and customer service managers.

Many users believed that the program could aid doctors in working with patients. Some even feared psychologists could go out of business.

ELIZA’s weakness was that it was unable to contextualise anything. Coaches and psychologists are not just looking at words. They need to interpret a person’s body language, how a person relates to past events and trauma and meets basic needs. Great life coaches identify limiting beliefs and see unproductive patterns in their clients’ behaviours. They understand their clients’ world and emotions first, show different ways of dealing with life challenges, connect behavioural change to something higher than their client’s self to make it last and show them one small change that helps them make a breakthrough each time they meet.

The death of the file pusher

Knowledge workers can learn from that. For one, chatbots will be of little use for managing projects that require emotional and cultural context. At least for quite a while. Second, while many tools can fully automate most transactional tasks of a project, they cannot respond to a client’s need for relevance, belonging, personal growth and giving back.

Yes, file management, email writing, reporting, quoting, scheduling, and many other tasks can now be fully automated. And if you are more of a file pusher than a neuro-science psychologist to your client, your job will be axed sooner or later.

Knowledge workers that can apply soft skills will always be in demand. Problem-solving, critical thinking, interpersonal interaction, consumer preference analysis, communication, team building, leadership, and social and cultural awareness are most needed in the future.

It’s about people and relationships

Being a pioneer in automating project management (I have done this for 20 years now), I have never found the shortcomings of automation technology to be a problem. People are!

I spend most of my time coaching managers that automation is not just about processes and hand-offs but also about people and relationships. Automation fails because the pain of change is stronger than the pain of working the way things currently are. Coupled with the real possibility of automation killing jobs, there is often little incentive for teams to change.

There are two basic forces that determine our behaviour:

  1. The need to avoid pain, and
  2. the desire to gain pleasure.

The need to avoid pain is always the stronger one. That’s why well-meaning managers experience push-back from their stakeholders when they introduce new ideas with the best of intentions of building a better future. The big two questions in everybody else’s head are:

  1. Will I be good enough?
  2. If I fail, will I still be loved or respected?

Their own future, in their mind, may not be so bright after all.

Empower – not limit – yourself

Successful knowledge workers break unhealthy responses to inevitable automation by turning their limiting believes into empowering ones. Instead of telling themselves that process automation will take away their jobs, they create empowering statements, such as: ‘Automation allows me to eliminate all the clutter and repetitive work – and I have all the knowledge, experience, relationship skills and talents to now deliver more value to my clients than ever before.’

And then they train themselves in using their natural capacity for problem solving, adaptation, and resilience and cross-disciplinary solution building.

How much time do we have?  It took six decades for labourers to resettle and start to win higher wages once factory automation took hold during the Industrial Age of the 19th century. How long knowledge workers have in the age of automation is not clear but the transition has started. Estimates are that in the next 15 years, 38% of American jobs would be lost to robotics and artificial intelligence. Germany could lose 35%, Japan 21%, and the UK 30%. Ireland is expected to lose 15% of the current jobs in the next decade to automation.

According to consulting firm PWC, administrative and support services are more at risk than human health services, social work, and education. My case in point: If you spend a lot of time pushing files, you are already automated away. You need to act now!

To speak with Stephen Hawking: 1N73LL1G3NC3 15 7H3 4B1L17Y 70 4D4P7 70 CH4NG3.

About the Author

Andrew Lawless
Andrew Lawless is an executive coach who inspires for success, sanity and happiness. He a US citizen with a German accent and resides in Anbally, Co. Galway. Andrew brings a unique blend of experience in behavioural sciences, publishing, localization, and education. He served as consultant with top-secret clearance to the Behavioral Science Unit of the FBI in Quantico, VA (USA). Andrew’s accomplishments range from managing corporate turnarounds to transforming policy at the World Bank. He presented to the Obama US White House and testified before the US Senate on the importance of professional development. Follows Bruce Springsteen around Ireland when he tours.